Evaluation of the Week’s Most Significant Events (February 16th, 2019)


Bottom Line: Will Canopy Growth’s earnings drive the market to new highs, or will disappointing final results throw cold water on this early 2019 rally. Study on to obtain out…

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Bottom Line: Aurora has arrived as a big player in the recreational marketplace capturing ~20% marketplace share of rec volumes in the quarter ending December.

On the other hand, the speedy ramp in income and most importantly profit that investors have been waiting patiently for is on track to take considerably longer than anticipated. It is now seeking probably that investors will have to wait till 2020 for good earnings and EBITDA. Management initially stated they would be lucrative by the finish of 2017.

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Bottom Line:

The unique committee findings confirm that the Quintessential Capital Management quick report was absolutely nothing a lot more than an accusation Aphria overpaid for its Latin American (LATAM) assets disguised as an investigative report on a international internet of fraud.

As Grizzle argued, and third parties have confirmed, Aphria (NYSE: APHA, TSE: APH) paid the going marketplace price for the assets it acquired.

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Bottom Line: Some banking analysts are ultimately coming to the realization that their rosy estimates have to have to come down to reality. Scotia reduce subsequent quarters income estimate for Canopy by 30% and like us thinks the black marketplace will retain at least 70% of the cannabis marketplace in 2019. Be ready for a bumpy rollout of the recreational marketplace all through the rest of the year.

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Bottom Line: The most exciting portion of this story is that hemp with beneath .three% THC can mature for the duration of storage and transport and finish up getting above the legal limit of THC. This creates critical issues for CBD suppliers and hemp shippers beneath the existing nationwide ban on items with THC content material above .three%.



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Bottom Line: The UK, like Europe, considers any item with a cannabinoid to fall beneath “novel ingredient” regulations. CBD primarily based foods could be off the marketplace in the UK and other components of Europe for up to 3 years till they achieve “Novel Food” status which means they can be sold with tiny regulation. You will probably obtain CBD items in retailers regardless as the grey marketplace ordinarily develops whilst waiting for regulations to catch up.

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Bottom Line: On January 19th Canada authorized the initial import of cannabis from Colombia. The dried flower was only for investigation purposes and ought to be sold to health-related sufferers only according to Colombian regulations.

The actual milestone to appear for is when Colombia approves recreational exports and a organization effectively imports that item into Canada. Then we can say Colombia has arrived as a international competitor to Canadian LP’s. Marijuana - Colombia - MJ

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Weekly Marijuana Stock Performance 

Marijuana stocks outperformed the broader marketplace this week up three.five% compared to the S&ampP 500 up two.five% and the TSX up 1.three%. For the second week in a row, Canadian names outperformed U.S. multi-state operators (MSO).

Interestingly, so far this year the 4 biggest Canadian LP’s have outperformed each the cannabis index as a entire and the U.S. MSOs by 11% and 24% respectively. We believe the U.S. MSO’s will begin to outperform if the STATEs act enabling cannabis banking is passed, possibly in 2019.

Market place Outlook

Stocks are seeing a bounce back in the initial quarter right after promoting off so heavily in November and December. Sentiment is acquiring a lot more good with the all round marketplace so it is difficult to see stocks going by way of a further 20%+ selloff in the initial quarter with out extra unfavorable earnings news or a international recession. A complete buyout of a cannabis organization by a customer packaged superior or pharmaceutical organization would be a robust good catalyst for the whole market.

From a basic point of view, be cautious owning cannabis stocks into the subsequent two-quarters of earnings. Distribution bottlenecks and a government monopoly do not bode properly for licensed producers’ capability to meet or exceed lofty earnings estimates, having said that, so far the marketplace has been pleased with

Longer term, with the Canadian marketplace legalized we anticipate retail and wholesale cost compression from a legal oversupply by the second half of 2019. Falling cannabis rates will stress producer stocks later in 2019. Right after a shakeout, the remaining stocks will be far better positioned as extended-term shopping for possibilities.

Supply: New Cannabis Ventures

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United States

Banks May well See Progress Handling Money for Cannabis Organizations

New York Police Officers Stepping Up Opposition to Marijuana Legalization

Will New Jersey Marijuana Legislation Get Place on the Ballot?

Bill Ahead of Home in New Mexico Would Legalize Marijuana


Controversial Hearing on Raising Age of Marijuana Use in Quebec Underway

Supreme Cannabis Q2 Earnings Announces 359% Income Boost

Higher Tide Hits Corporate Milestones Following Aurora Investment


Althea Launches UK Subsidiary Right after Deal With Aphria

GW Pharmaceuticals Shares Boost Right after Alzheimer’s Trial Revealed


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